Weekly Local weather and Vitality Information Roundup #434

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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #434

The week that was: 2020-12-05 (December 5th, 2020)

Presented by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The science and environmental project

Quote of the week: Don't you see that Newspeak's whole goal is to narrow your thinking area? In the end, we will literally make thought crimes impossible because there will be no words in which to express it. Every concept that can ever be used is expressed by exactly one word, with its meaning firmly defined and all its connotations erased and forgotten. . . . The trial will go on long after you and I are dead. Every year there are fewer and fewer words and the range of consciousness is getting a little smaller. Even now, of course, there is no reason or excuse to commit a thought crime. It's all about self-discipline, reality control. But in the end there won't be a need for that either. . . . Has it ever occurred to you, Winston, that by 2050 at the latest there will not be a single person alive who can understand the conversation we are having now? "- George Orwell, 1984 https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/450328-don-t-you-see-that-the-whole-aim-of-newspeak-is

Number of the week: 9

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President of the Science and Environment Policy Project (SEPP)

Self-limiting, logarithmic: For the past few weeks, TWTW has been discussing the greenhouse effect research carried out by W. A. ​​van Wijngaarden and W. Happer (W&H) using the HITRAN database, which started in the 1960s and is well established and tested. This database of observations and calculations is used to predict and simulate the transmission and emission of electromagnetic radiation in the atmosphere. Howard Hayden expanded the results using the calculations made by W&H, Professor Emeritus of Physics.

The earth is cooled by outgoing infrared radiation, which has a longer wavelength than visible light. Greenhouse gases disrupt infrared radiation by absorbing photons at certain wavelengths and then emitting them again. Put simply, when the concentration of a particular greenhouse gas, CO2, increases, its effectiveness decreases. In other words, as the amount of CO2 increases, its ability to raise temperatures further decreases. This is similar to an automobile approaching top speed. It won't go much faster no matter how hard the driver depresses the accelerator.

In the influential Charney Report of 1979, the committee tried to circumvent this self-limiting property by claiming, without physical evidence, that water vapor will greatly increase the impact of CO2. However, this enhancement has not been found in over 40 years of atmospheric research. Thus, the Charney report is yet another example of one of the many dead ends that scientists have speculated about greenhouse gases.

There is nothing wrong with such speculations and errors as long as the scientists involved recognize them and correct the errors. As Richard Feynman explained in his famous lectures, scientific theory begins with a guess. The important step is to test this guess against all appropriate physical evidence.

A common analogy is that greenhouse gases in the atmosphere act as a blanket that protects the earth from cooling too quickly. Using this analogy, it can be said that adding carbon dioxide to today's atmosphere is like adding a handkerchief over a warm blanket. There are some effects, but they are not noticeable. See links under Challenging Orthodoxy.

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Application of the scientific method: Although not specifically stated, John Christy describes in a counter-argument published on AL.com how he and Roy Spencer used the scientific method to correct early, minor errors in atmospheric temperature trends from data collected by satellites for three atmospheric layers were. Spencer and Christy are the co-developers of the method, first published in 1990. The data is based on the finding that the intensity of microwave emissions from atmospheric oxygen is directly related to temperature, so these measurements can be converted into temperature. (Note that microwave emissions have a longer wavelength than infrared emissions.)

This data is published monthly and verified by independent data collected from various types of instruments on weather balloons. These are the most comprehensive global temperatures there is. Otherwise nothing comes close.

These data do not show dramatic warming of the atmosphere in which greenhouse gas warming occurs. Therefore, the data as well as Christy and Spencer were bitterly attacked by the community of "climate scientists". For example, Christy writes:

"Early on, the very clever scientists at Remote Sensing Systems in California discovered two problems with our data set, both of which were immediately fixed 15 and 20 years ago with very little effect."

As Haapala personally saw, members of the modeling community claim the dataset has been discredited. It doesn't match their models. In the world of physics, numerical models (hypotheses) need to be adjusted to meet data, not the data that was adjusted to meet the models. Climate modellers seem to live in an alternate reality.

In addition, Christy and Spencer were accused of being anti-scientific in using the scientific method. This is the nature of "climate science" and the politicians who support it. The above-discussed work by W & H and Hayden on the observed greenhouse effect by analyzing infrared emissions is consistent with the atmospheric temperature trends calculated from the microwave emissions of oxygen.

As discussed in the July 25 TWTW, Christy and Ross McKitrick used 12 different sets of data from three different methods to determine that 38 of the new models, CMIP6, were being prepared for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), greatly overestimate the warming of the atmosphere over the tested time interval from 1979 to 2014. In many cases the 95% confidence intervals of the models are above the 95% confidence intervals for the actual data sets. The conclusion of the McKitrick & Christy paper is:

“The literature pointing to an upward bias of the warming responses of the climate model in the tropical troposphere goes back at least 15 years (Karl et al., 2006). Instead of being resolved, the problem has worsened as every member of the CMIP6 generation of climate models is now sloping upward across both the global troposphere and the tropics. The models with lower ECS values ​​(Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (for a doubling of CO2)) show warming rates that are somewhat closer to the observed values, but are still clearly distorted upwards and do not overlap the observations. Models with higher ECS values ​​also have higher tropospheric warming rates, and applying the emerging constraint concept implies that an ensemble of models with warming rates that are consistent with observations are likely to have ECS values ​​at or below the bottom of the CMIP6 range should have. Our results reflect the latest findings from the inspection of CMIP6-ECS (Voosen, 2019) and paleoclimate simulations (Zhu et al., 2020), which also show a systematic bias in the latest generation of climate models. "

The “climate science” community produces highly biased research and appears to be unable to correct the demands of the scientific method. It appears that these nonprofit services have interests other than objective science and can be called bureaucratic science. See links under Challenging Orthodoxy and Measurement Problems – Atmosphere.

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D-O events:: In their book Unstoppable Global Warming, the late Fred Singer and Dennis Avery discussed a climate cycle of roughly every 1500 years discovered by Willi Dansgaard from Denmark, Hans Oeschger from Switzerland and Claude Lorius from France. The explorers were awarded the Tyler Prize ("Nobel Environment Prize") in 1996. The cycle is referred to as the Dansgaard-Oeschger cycle or D-O events for short. D-O events were found in ice cores captured in Greenland. Others have shown that D-O events also occur in Antarctic ice cores.

Singer and Avery gave substantial evidence that the cycle was global, and not limited to just polar regions. Using tree rings, stalagmites, dust clouds, insects, plankton, petrified pollen, algae skeletons and changing human cultures, they showed that the events affected the global climate. The most plausible cause was the Svensmark hypothesis that a dormant sun hits more energetic cosmic rays on the earth and increases the turbidity.

Interestingly, members of the Niels Bohr Institute published a discussion of D-O events in PNAS. The paragraph about the meaning says:

“The last Ice Age was marked by high amplitude abrupt warming events in Greenland known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events, which were likely linked to the retreat of the North Sea sea ice. We reconstruct the variability of the sea ice during four D-O events ∼32–41 ka with unprecedented spatial representation and severe temporal constraints using proxy records from two sediment cores from the Norwegian Sea and one East Greenland ice core. Our records show differences on a millennial scale between extended sea ice conditions and reduced seasonal sea ice conditions with rapid sea ice reductions at the onset of D-O events. Our results suggest that rapid sea ice reduction amplifies the processes in the ocean atmosphere and causes the abrupt D-O climate transitions. This places restrictions on model simulations of abrupt climate changes and their mechanisms. "

It is good to see that D-O events are detected and that they are not related to CO2. However, it will likely take some time for PNAS to recognize their broad impact. See links under Changing the Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

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Climate modeling: Researcher at the Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science at ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Laboratory for Climate and Global Dynamics, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA; Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg; The National Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading, UK, has issued a paper entitled "Partitioning the Uncertainty of Climate Projection with Multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5 / 6". The beginning of the abstract reads:

“The division of the uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from internal variability, model reaction uncertainty and emission scenarios was based in the past on assumptions about forced changes in the mean value and the variability. With the emergence of several individual models (SMILEs) with individual model initial conditions, these assumptions can be checked, as they enable a more robust separation between sources of uncertainty … "

The opening of the introduction reads:

“Climate change forecasts are uncertain. The characterization of this uncertainty was not only helpful for the scientific interpretation and model development, but also for science communication (e.g. Hawkins and Sutton, 2009; Rowell, 2012; Knutti and Sedláček, 2012). With the advent of Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs), a systematic characterization of projection uncertainty became possible, as a number of climate models of similar complexity provided simulations over a consistent period of time and with the same emission scenarios. Uncertainties in climate change projections can be traced back to several sources – in the context of CMIP, three specific sources (Hawkins and Sutton, 2009), which are described as follows.

“Uncertainty due to internal unconstrained variability: The fact that a projection of the climate at a certain point in time in the future is uncertain due to the chaotic and thus unpredictable development of the climate system. This uncertainty is inherently irreducible on timescales after which information about the initial state has been lost (typically a few years or less for the atmosphere, e.g. Lorenz, 1963, 1996). The internal variability in a climate model can best be estimated from a long control simulation or a large ensemble, including how the variability can change under external forcing (Brown et al., 2017; Maher et al., 2018).

"Uncertainty in relation to the climate response (hereafter" model uncertainty "to ensure consistency with historical terminology …"

Apparently, the modelers don't know that the main problem with the models is that the models have not been validated – this is rigorously tested against physical evidence showing that they duplicate the physical world, reality. As mentioned above, they greatly overestimate the warming of the atmosphere over 35 years and do not duplicate the greenhouse effect. Uncertainty in the models means little compared to the discrepancy between the models and reality. See the links under Challenging Orthodoxy and Defending Orthodoxy.

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ENSO: One of the problems with predicting the weather from year to year is that no one could predict the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The shift from El Niños (warm periods) and La Niñas (cool periods) changes surface and atmospheric temperature trends and rainfall. David Whitehouse writes for the Global Warming Policy Forum and explains how ENSO affects surface temperatures. Roy Spencer discusses its effects on atmospheric temperatures. Being able to predict these events would benefit humanity. See articles and links under Measurement Problems – Atmosphere and Changing Weather.

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NOAA Storms: Whatever the reason, NOAA is committed to identifying minor storms that would not have been observed prior to the satellite era. As a result, headlines are increasingly screaming hurricanes, but they're in name only and have little impact. There has been no trend for the USA since 1900. NOAA is losing credibility. For information about issues with NOAA and the Weather Service, see the links in Changing Weather and Science, Policies, and Evidence.

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Changing Seas of Portland, ME:: The Maine Sea Level Rise Dashboard shows two trends for Portland: 1) "1912-2020 average: 1.90 ± 0.10 mm per year or 0.62 feet (7.47 inches) per century" and 2) "1995 average -2020: 3.08 ± 0.93 mm per century year or 12.12 inches per century. “Both rates are shown in the attached graphics. Unfortunately, the website doesn't explain why there are two different rates of increase for the same location over the same period from 1995 to 2020.

TWTW will suspect that these different slew rates came from two different sets of instruments that were not calibrated. One comes from tide gauges and the second from satellites. Unlike their counterparts in Penzance, Newlyn, England, those who report sea level rise in Maine do not seem to believe that the public they serve deserves an explanation. See links under Changing Seas.

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To start a critical letter: TWTW is concerned that politicians are using fake science to establish policy. The question is how to write a critical letter. Brenchley's Christopher Monckton offers a guide. The headline of his letter to the editor of The Lancet reads:

"Your suggestion that warmer global weather has resulted in net losses, particularly in the rapidly declining world population of poor people, is fashionable but misplaced."

Monckton follows the opening with facts to justify his claim. See links under Challenging Orthodoxy and Lowering Standards.

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Tolerance: Several readers asked John Adams about the quote last week: “Facts are persistent things; and whatever our desires, inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot change the state of the facts and evidence. “(1770) He said so as the defender of the British soldiers involved in the Boston massacre. The mob wanted revenge. Adams wanted the rule of law and tolerance.

A decade after the Pilgrims settled Plymouth Colony in 1620, the Puritans who were intolerant established the Massachusetts Bay Colony around Boston. In 1636 the Puritans banished Roger Williams, who thought independently. Williams founded Rhode Island on the basis of tolerance. Now Paul Driessen reports that Senator Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island wants those who think differently about the causes of global warming to be punished. In Rhode Island, tolerance has changed. See link under Better Communicating With The Public – Go Personal.

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Number of the week – 9: CO2 Science reports on the yield results from exposure of nine durum wheat genotypes to high CO2 and high temperatures.

“The above results have two meanings. First in this one even worse Future climate scenario, none of the nine varieties saw yields decrease, while four saw significant increases. This observation shows that agriculturally grown durum wheat grain yields are highly unlikely to decline in the future and that they will most likely increase as farmers select and grow the genotypes that best respond to rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Second, this study shows the performance and ability of plants to deal with higher temperatures at higher levels of CO2. As has been shown in numerous studies, higher CO2 levels almost always activate several improvement mechanisms in plants to counteract the effects of high temperature stress. "(The original was in bold italics)

Forget the claims of global warming harming US agriculture as stated in the US 4th National Climate Assessment (2018) https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/. See links under Review of Latest Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

MESSAGES YOU CAN USE:

Climategate continuation

Revised climate category: quotes from the main actors

By Robert Bradley Jr.Master Resource on Nov 30, 2020

censorship

Jordan Peterson's new book censored

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, Nov 30, 2020

Challenging Orthodoxy – NIPCC

Climate change covered II: Physics

Idso, Carter and Singer, lead authors / editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate change reconsidered II: Biological effects

Idso, Idso, Carter and Singer, Lead Authors / Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Covered II: Fossil Fuels

By multiple authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates and Singer eds., Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

Free download:

Why Scientists Disagree with Global Warming

The NIPCC Scientific Consensus Report

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter and S. Fred Singer, Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), November 23, 2015

Free download:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, not human activity, rules the climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea Level Rise: An Analysis of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging Orthodoxy

Dependence of the earth's thermal radiation on the five most common greenhouse gases

By W. A. ​​van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, submitted June 4, 2020

https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.03098

Link to the pre-release version: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.03098.pdf

CO2 and Climate: A TutorialBy Howard "Cork" Hayden, Energy Advocate, accessed November 27, 2020

Penetrating warming distortion in tropospheric CMIP6 layers

By R. McKitrick and J. Christy, Earth and Space Science, July 15, 2020

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020EA001281

John Christy: We don't attack science

By John Christy, Alabama State Climatologist, AL.com, Nov 25, 2020

https://www.al.com/opinion/2020/11/john-christy-we-dont-attack-science.html

The unstoppable moment of obsolete science

Much of climate research focuses on implausible future scenarios, but implementing a course correction will be difficult

By Roger Pielke Jr. The Honest Broker Newsletter, November 30, 2020

https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-unstoppable-momentum-of-outdated

Link to a paper: Achievements and needs of the framework for the climate change scenario

By Brian C. O'Neill, Climate Change in Nature, November 25, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00952-0

Monckton Letter to The Lancet on "Climate Crisis"

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, The Heartland Institute on December 4, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/monckton-letter-to-the-lancet-on-the-climate-crisis—december-2020

"Your suggestion that warmer global weather has resulted in net losses, particularly in the rapidly declining world population of poor people, is fashionable but misplaced."

GWPF / AEF Webinar: Environmental Science Reform

With Dr. Peter Ridd, Joanna Nova and Alan Moran from Global Warming Policy Forum and Australian Environment Foundation staff, December 4, 2020

No evidence of dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals

By Ralph Alexander, Science in Attack, November 30, 2020 (H / t GWPF)

https://www.scienceunderattack.com/blog/2020/11/30/no-evidence-for-dramatic-loss-of-great-barrier-reef-corals-66

Five reasons why internal combustion engines stay here

By Robert Bryce, Real Clear Energy, November 29, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/11/29/five_reasons_why_internal_combustion_engines_are_here_to_stay_651051.html

Defend Orthodoxy

Partitioning the uncertainty of the climate projection with several large ensembles and CMIP5 / 6

From Flavio Lehner et al. Earth System Dynamics, May 29, 2020 (H / t climate, etc.)

https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/491/2020/esd-11-491-2020.html

UN chief criticizes "suicide" in the fight against global warming

By Staff Writers, United Nations, USA (AFP) on December 2, 2020

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/UN_chief_slams_suicidal_failure_to_combat_global_warming_999.html

Guest contribution: How decreasing ice in clouds makes a high climate sensitivity plausible

By multiple authors, Carbon Brief, October 30, 2020

Link to the paper: Equilibrium climate sensitivity above 5 ° C plausible due to state-dependent cloud feedback

From Jenny Bjordal et al. Nature Geoscience, October 26, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-020-00649-1

(SEPP Comment: Plausible doesn't mean real!)

Questioning Orthodoxy

Sustainable Newspeak until 2050

By Peter Foster, Law and Freedom, November 30, 2020 (H / t GWPF)

CAGW failed "predictions"

By Rud Istvan, WUWT, December 4, 2020

The study shows that the worst climate scenarios of the IPCC have already got off the rails

By staff at the University of Colorado at Boulder, Via GWPF, December 3, 2020

Link to the accepted manuscript: IPCC basic scenarios have over-forecast CO2 emissions and economic growth

By Matthew G. Burgess et al. Environmental Research Letters, November 25, 2020

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abcdd2

(SEPP comment: The global climate models are a secondary problem to the primary problem and have not been validated using physical data from the atmosphere.)

CO2 must suppress tropical storms if CO2 is a formation factor, as NASA scientists suggest

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, December 4, 2020

To Paris!

Will Trump send the Paris Agreement to the US Senate?

By Benny Peiser, GWPF, November 30, 2020

Problems in Orthodoxy

UN climate agency beaten with corruption allegations

By Tyler Durden, Zero Hedge, December 1, 2020 (H / t Bernie Kepshire)

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/un-climate-agency-slapped-corruption-allegations

I'm looking for common ground

Preventing Ecosystem Collapse: Alaska's Kelp Forests

By Jim Steele, Landscapes and Cycles, Dec 4, 2020

http://landscapesandcycles.net/preventing-ecosystem-collapse-alaska-kelp-forests.html

(SEPP Comment: Part I of a series in which "threatened" ecosystems are examined. As Steele writes, only the Asian Aral Sea ecosystem has largely collapsed, as irrigation has increased massively and the inflow of water has been stopped.)

Radio-Canada ombudsman identifies violations of standards in inaccurate reporting of extremes Rainfall trends in Canada

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, November 28, 2020

S.Science, Politics and Evidence

The numerical weather forecast in the US is crippled by the division between NOAA and the academic community. But a rare opportunity beckons.

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, December 3, 2020

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/12/us-numerical-weather-prediction-is.html

"Lawn battles, ego and the inefficiency of large bureaucracies"

The disappearing Congress is giving too much power to regulators

The founders feared that the legislature would dominate the executive branch

By Andrew Wheeler, The Washington Times, December 2, 2020

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/dec/2/vanishing-congress-cedes-too-much-power-to-regulat/

Conservatives will regret Boris Johnson's radical Net Zero goals

Press release, GWPF, December 4, 2020

Review of Recent ScientArticle by CO2 Science

Effects of CO2 and warming on a tropical pasture species

J. M. Carvalho, R. F. Barreto, R. M. Prado, E. Habermann, C. A. Martinez. and Branco, R.B.F. 2020. Elevated (CO2) and warming increase the efficiency of macronutrient use and the biomass of Stylosanthes surrender to birds in field conditions. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science 206: 597-606. 4th December 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/dec/a2.php

Effects of ocean acidification on the early life stages of the orange grouper

Lonthair, J., Hwang, P.-P. and Esbaugh, A.J. 2020. The early life stages of the orange grouper Epinephelus coioides show a robustness towards hypercapnia. ICES Journal of Marine Science 77: 1066- 1074 December 2, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/dec/a1.php

Interactive effects of CO2 and high temperatures on nine wheat genotypes

Sabella, E., Aprile, A., Negro, C., Nicoli, F., Nutricati, E., Vergine, M., Luvisi, A., De Bellis, L. 2020. Impacts of climate change on durum wheat yield. Agronomy 10, 793; doi: 10.3390 / agronomy10060793. November 30, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/nov/a13.php

Measurement problems – Surface

Unmatched data from GHCN V3 shows Bahia Blanca, Argentina, has had a cooling trend since 1880

By Kirye, Tony Hellers Blog, Nov 30, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/11/ghcn-v3-unadjusted-data-shows-bahia-blanca-argentina-had-a-cooling-trend-since-1880/

(SEPP comment: 25% of the stations in South America had a cooling trend since 1880!)

Measurement problems – The atmosphere

UAH Global Temperature Update for November 2020: +0.53 degrees. C.

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, December 1, 2020

Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2020/november2020/202011_map.png

Graphic: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2020/november2020/202011_bar.png

Changing weather

Roger Pielke Jr.'s Hurricane Season Recap 2020

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, December 1, 2020

Link to an article: Normalized Hurricane Damage in the Continental United States, 1900–2017

By Jessica Weinkle et al. Sustainability of Nature, November 26, 2018

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-018-0165-2

No, it wasn't a record hurricane season!

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, December 3, 2020

Another warm El Nino year

By David Whitehouse, GWPF, December 3, 2020

Link to the WMO press release: 2020 is one of the three warmest years in existence

By employees, WMO, December 2, 2020

https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/2020-track-be-one-of-three-warmest-years-record

"The World Meteorological Organization is the authoritative voice of the United Nations system on weather, climate and water."

(SEPP-Kommentar: Die Organisation ist auch eine Mutterorganisation des stark politisierten IPCC der Vereinten Nationen.)

Die neue Dust Bowl, die sogar die BBC der grünen Klimapolitik zuschreibt

Von Geoff Hill, The Conservative Woman, 2. Dezember 2020

Klima ändern – Kulturen & Zivilisationen

6.000 Jahre Pfeile entstehen aus dem schmelzenden norwegischen Eisfeld

Von Paul Homewood, das wissen nicht viele, 29. November 2020

Wechselnde Meere

Maine Sea Level Rise Dashboard

Von Mitarbeitern, Maine Geological Survey, Ministerium für Land- und Forstwirtschaft, Zugriff 2. Dezember 2020

https://mgs-collect.site/slr_ticker/slr_dashboard.html

Die pazifischen Inseln, die trotz Meeresspiegelanstieg wachsen

Von Michael Daly, Stuff, 2. Dezember 2020

https://www.stuff.co.nz/science/123559259/the-pacific-islands-which-are-growing-despite-sea-level-rise

Eine weitere neue Studie ergab, dass die Meeresoberflächentemperaturen 1-5 ° C wärmer waren als jetzt während des letzten ICE-Alters

Von Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, 30. November 2020

Link zu einem Artikel: Erzwingen der Oberflächentemperatur des westlichen tropischen Südatlantiks über drei glazial-interglaziale Zyklen

Von Alicia Hou et al. Globaler und planetarischer Wandel, Mai 2020

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0921818120300400

Kryosphäre verändern – Land / Meereis

Das Klima änderte sich schnell zusammen mit dem Rückgang des Meereises im Norden

Pressemitteilung des Niels Bohr Instituts, 4. Dezember 2020 (H / t Bernie Kepshire)

https://phys.org/news/2020-12-climate-rapidly-sea-ice-decline.html

Link zum Papier: Schnelle Reduzierung und Variabilität der Meereisbedeckung in den nordischen Meeren während abrupter Veränderungen des Gletscherklimas

Von Henrik Sadatzki et al. PNAS, 23. September 2020

https://www.pnas.org/content/117/47/29478

In der Arktis gibt es viel Eis (Teil III)

Von John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, 2. Dezember 2020

U.Pheaval – Ein kurzer Roman (Von Susan Crockford)

Buchbesprechung von Kip Hansen, WUWT, 1. Dezember 2020

Standards senken

Lancets hitzebedingte Todesfälle Con Trick

Von Paul Homewood, das wissen nicht viele, 4. Dezember 2020

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – Verwenden Sie gelben (grünen) Journalismus?

Die Trump-Administration genehmigt die umstrittene Ölprüfmethode im Golf von Mexiko

Von Rachel Frazin, The Hill, 3. Dezember 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/528649-trump-administration-approves-controversial-oil-testing-method-in

"Kritiker argumentierten jedoch, dass die Agentur nicht genug getan habe, um gefährdete Arten wie den Bryde-Wal zu schützen, von denen im letzten Jahr weniger als 100 übrig waren."

(SEPP-Kommentar: Ein Argument für roten Hering. Die Anzahl der Wale hat nichts mit dem Problem zu tun: Schädigt die Methode Wale?)

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – übertreiben oder vage sein?

40.000 Jahre Fortschritt über Nacht

Von John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, 2. Dezember 2020

Die globale Erwärmung gerät nicht mehr außer Kontrolle

Von Tony Heller, Sein Blog, 1. Dezember 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/12/global-warming-no-longer-out-of-control/

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – Dinge erfinden.

New Zealand declares a climate change emergency

Jacinda Ardern calls climate change "one of the greatest challenges of our time" and promises a climate-neutral government by 2025

Von Phil Taylor, The Guardian, 1. Dezember 2020 (H / t Bernie Kepshire)

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/02/new-zealand-declares-a-climate-change-emergency

(SEPP-Kommentar: Die Inseln werden durch die zunehmende CO2-verursachte Photosynthese von Vegetation überwältigt?)

Der neuseeländische Premierminister hat gerade Klimazeloten die Erlaubnis erteilt, Gesetze zu brechen: "Es ist ein Notfall"!

Von Jo Nova, Ihr Blog, 3. Dezember 2020

https://joannenova.com.au/2020/12/new-zealand-pm-has-just-given-permission-for-climate-zealots-to-break-laws-its-an-emergency/

(SEPP Comment: See link immediately above.)

City Of London To Go Solar!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Dec 2, 2020

“Needless to say, the City won’t actually be using electricity from the new solar farm, which is in Dorset. And they will be totally reliant on grid power, including fossil fuels at night,”

Dear Mr. Ambassador

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Dec 2, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Go Personal.

Sheldon Whitehouse’s Climate Inquisition Continues

By Paul Driessen, The Heartland Institute, Dec 1, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/sheldon-whitehouses-climate-inquisition-continues

Trump appoints NOAA climate skeptic to panel selecting National Medal of Science winners

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, Dec 3, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/528652-trump-appoints-climate-denying-noaa-staffer-to-panel-selecting

“In Senate testimony in 2014, he (Legates) argued that the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was wrong in its assertion the humans are a main driver behind climate change.”

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda

Climate ‘apocalypse’ fears stopping people having children – study

Survey of 600 people finds some parents regret having offspring for same reason

By Damian Carrington, The Guardian, Nov 27, 2020

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/27/climate-apocalypse-fears-stopping-people-having-children-study

“There is also growing evidence of climate anxiety affecting mental health and earlier in 2020 more than 1,000 clinical psychologists signed an open letter warning of ‘acute trauma on a global scale’. Last week, a survey revealed that more than half of child and adolescent psychiatrists in England were seeing patients distressed about the state of the environment.”

(SEPP Comment: Can the UN IPCC be sued for creating “climate anxiety” with false propaganda?)

Expanding the Orthodoxy

Environment award for man who stopped new coal power plant in Ghana

Video produced by Huong Ly and Trystan Young, BBC, Dec 1, 2020

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-africa-55105224

(SEPP Comment: According to worldometers, Ghana ranks 139th in 2017 by GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) per capita estimated to be $4500, or 26% of the world average. Keep it burning sticks and dung! https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-per-capita/)

Questioning European Green

Unreliable, Most Expensive: Green Energies Make Germany’s Electricity Prices Highest In Europe!

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Nov 28, 2020

(SEPP Comment: The big green race: Which country can bankrupt its citizens the fastest?)

A handy guide to going Green

By Andy Shaw, Spectator Life, Nov 27, 2020

“The government has announced their Plan for a Green Industrial Revolution. It will bring electricity to light homes, gas for cooking and cars to drive! You may think that we already have these things, but this is a Green revolution, everything that we have got used to will be re-invented.”

CCGTs On Death Row (Combined Cycle Gas Turbines)

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Dec 1, 2020

Link to report: A CCGT window of opportunity

As the queue of UK CCGTs for sale grows, we analyse generation margins & challenge the current investment opportunity.

By Staff, Timera Energy, Nov 30, 2020

“None of this has anything to do with the efficiency of CCGTs. It is a situation entirely created by public policy, which has interfered with the normal operation of a well-established energy market.”

Questioning Green Elsewhere

Climate News – December 2020

By Alan Moran, The Australian Climate Sceptics Blog, Dec 2, 2020

http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com/2020/12/climate-news-december-2020.html

(SEPP Comment: Includes a collection of revealing graphs: Ten countries with the largest reductions and ten countries with the largest increases in CO2 emission, 2019; Number of Workers to Produce the Same Amount (13.3M Kilowatt hours of Electricity, 2019; Two-century Trend in Global Life Expectancy, Fossil Fuel Consumption and Atmospheric CO2 (from CO2 Science).)

Green Jobs

Losing the green bet

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Dec 2, 2020

“Our friends at the Global Warming Policy Forum complained that Britain’s alternative energy policy involves contracts going to foreign firms. But on this point we must demur in part. It would not improve a green-energy scheme to make it mercantilist or protectionist. If windmills are the answer to power generation, get the best value you can regardless of source.”

Biden’s plan to create millions of energy jobs might work, but only because renewables are so labor-intensive and only at a very high cost

By Mark Perry, AEI, Nov 26, 2020

Biden’s plan to create millions of energy jobs might work, but only because renewables are so labor-intensive and only at a very high cost

“Unfortunately, Biden has fallen hard for the “jobism” fallacy that clouds and distorts the thinking and policy proposals of so many politicians and government officials. Biden’s “jobism” thinking mistakenly treats energy jobs as an economic benefit rather than as an economic cost. The goal should never be to maximize jobs; rather the goal should be to maximize energy production (or farm or factory output) with the FEWEST workers, not the MOST workers.”

(SEPP Comment: Great graph on how many workers needed to produce the same amount electricity by type of generation. See link above.)

Funding Issues

Betting other people’s money on green

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Dec 2, 2020

Betting other people’s money on green

“The CPP, the Chief Actuary of Canada has said, must earn a real rate of return of 4% for 75 years to cover projected payouts (for government pension funds). Good luck with that mate.”

“There is this meme out there that big companies are extra-right-wing entities that send lavish cheques to deniers and oppose regulation. But it’s not true. Like GM, which just switched from Trump’s position on California’s strict new emissions to Biden’s, many are smooth operators convinced they can game the system. They may find, as carmakers in Europe are already finding, that feeding the crocodile in the hope of being eaten last is just exactly as bad an idea as it sounds. But in any case private companies no longer dominate financial markets. Public and parapublic entities do.”

(SEPP Comment: The green dream may become a nightmare.)

Litigation Issues

DOJ, State Officials Among Supporters of Energy Producers in Supreme Court Case as Oral Arguments Scheduled.

By William Allison, Energy in Depth, Dec 2, 2020

Dutch Climate Activists Take Shell to Court Over Emissions

A group of environmental organizations backed by thousands of Dutch citizens is launching a civil case against the energy giant Shell.

By Staff, AP, Dec 1, 2020

https://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2020-12-01/dutch-climate-activists-take-shell-to-court-over-emissions

Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes

There Is No Revenue-Neutral Carbon-Dioxide Tax

By H. Sterling Burnett, The Heartland Institute, Dec 4, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/there-is-no-revenue-neutral-carbon-dioxide-tax

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

Britain’s First Electric Forecourt (Paid For By Taxpayers)

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Dec 1, 2020

Britain’s First Electric Forecourt (Paid For By Taxpayers)

Established area for charging EVs.

The Story Behind The Loss Making “Subsidy Free” Solar Farm

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Dec 1, 2020

The Story Behind The Loss Making “Subsidy Free” Solar Farm

Energy Issues – Non-US

UK insists can achieve 68 percent emissions cut by 2030

By Joe Jackson , London (AFP), Dec 4, 2020

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/UK_insists_can_achieve_68_percent_emissions_cut_by_2030_999.html

UK Power Station Capacity

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 29, 2020

UK Power Station Capacity

“Even with all of these planned CCGTs, UK capacity looks extremely tight, given the extra demand on the grid in years to come.

“Without them, the situation looks dire.”

(SEPP Comment: And the Prime Minister’s plan proposed shutting down CCGTs, Combined Cycle Gas Turbines?)

German Renewable Energy Insanity: Shutting Down a 5 Year Old Coal Plant, No Plan to Fill the Energy Gap

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 4, 2020

FES Costings (UK)

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Dec 4, 2020

FES Costings

Link to report: Analysing the costs of our Future Energy Scenarios

By Staff, The National Grid, ESO, Dec 1, 2020

https://www.nationalgrideso.com/news/analysing-costs-our-future-energy-scenarios

Energy Issues – Australia

Aussie Brown Coal to Clean Hydrogen Plant will Address Carbon Capture “Eventually”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 4, 2020

Energy Issues — US

NERC: Pandemic, regional fuel shortages threaten winter grid operations in California, New England

By Robert Walton, Utility Dive, Nov 23, 2020

https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nerc-pandemic-regional-fuel-shortages-threaten-winter-grid-operations-in/589462/

Get Ready for Nationwide Blackouts Under Biden

By Jay Lehr & Tom Harris, Somewhat Reasonable, Dec 4, 2020

Get Ready for Nationwide Blackouts Under Biden

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

Why Oil Won’t “Go Gentle Into That Good Night”

By Jude Clemente, Real Clear Energy, Nov 29, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/11/29/why_oil_wont_go_gentle_into_that_good_night_650896.html

“The quiet reality is that, leaving transportation aside, there are over 6,000 everyday products made from oil.”

Nuclear Energy and Fears

China’s first domestically made nuclear reactor goes online

By Staff Writers, Beijing (AFP),  Nov 28, 2020

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Chinas_first_domestically_made_nuclear_reactor_goes_online_999.html

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

Germany’s Enviro-Dystopia: Wind Parks Devastating Rural Regions At Catastrophic Proportions

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Dec 1, 2020

Germany’s Enviro-Dystopia: Wind Parks Devastating Rural Regions At Catastrophic Proportions

Recent Energy and Environmental News November 30, 2020

By John Droz, The Australian Climate Sceptics Blog, Dec 1, 2020

http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com/2020/12/recent-energy-and-environmental-news.html

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Hydrogen Powered Planes

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Dec 1, 2020

Hydrogen Powered Planes

What is the real cost of green hydrogen?

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 28, 2020

What is the real cost of green hydrogen?

In-depth Q&A: Does the world need hydrogen to solve climate change?

By Multiple Authors, Carbon Brief, Nov 30, 2020

In-depth Q&A: Does the world need hydrogen to solve climate change?

Very long post.

Forward To The Past!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 29, 2020

Forward To The Past!

“‘The problem that we have is that fossil fuels are still too damn cheap.’ – Lucy Gilliam”

“So, let’s get this straight. You would need more than 2000 of these wooden ships to replace one conventional container ship. And it would travel at a quarter of the speed.

“And for that, the BBC think it’s a good idea to cut down millions of trees!”

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

UK’s sole hydrogen car maker bets on green revolution

By William Edwards with Veronique Dupont, Abergavenny, United Kingdom (AFP) Nov 28, 2020

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/UKs_sole_hydrogen_car_maker_bets_on_green_revolution_999.html

German Drives e-Motorhome 7500 Km To The Top Of Europe And Back – But Had To Charge 95 Times!

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Dec 2, 2020

German Drives e-Motorhome 7500 Km To The Top Of Europe And Back – But Had To Charge 95 Times!

“Average charging time: 90 mins

“2 hours charging for driving 1 hour”

“Although Eusterholz’s adventure may have been fascinating, it shows that cargo transport using e-cargo trucks are a long way off.”

Oh Mann!

Who do you Trust? (Michael Mann and Climategate)

By Robert Bradley Jr., Master Resource, Dec 1, 2020

Who do you Trust? (Michael Mann and Climategate)

Other Scientific News

Space worms experiment reveals gravity affects genes

By Staff Writers, Exeter UK (SPX) Nov 26, 2020

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Space_worms_experiment_reveals_gravity_affects_genes_999.html

Link to paper: Comparative Transcriptomics Identifies Neuronal and Metabolic Adaptations to Hypergravity and Microgravity in Caenorhabditis elegans

By Craig R.G. Willis, et al. iScience, Nov 25, 2020

https://www.cell.com/iscience/fulltext/S2589-0042(20)30931-7?_returnURL=https%3A%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS2589004220309317%3Fshowall%3Dtrue

Other News that May Be of Interest

Walter E. Williams 1936-2020

By Thomas Sowell, Townhall, Dec 2, 2020

https://townhall.com/columnists/thomassowell/2020/12/02/walter-e-williams-19362020-n2580965?mc_cid=71ec5b22cb&mc_eid=f45f72e7d7

Dr. Walter E. Williams, R.I.P

By Joseph Bast, The Heartland Institute, Dec 2, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/dr-walter-e-williams-rip

What I Learned From My Brush With Trump

Journalists should never again allow someone to create an alternative reality in order to seize the presidency.

By Jorge Ramos, NYT, Dec 4, 2020

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE

Send a greenboat

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Dec 2, 2020

Send a greenboat

(SEPP Comment: Not a gunboat?)

Prince Harry Makes Climate Plea; ‘What If Every One of Us Was a Raindrop.)

By Simon Kent, Breitbart, Dec 1, 2020

https://www.breitbart.com/environment/2020/12/01/prince-harry-makes-climate-plea-what-if-every-one-of-us-was-a-raindrop/

ARTICLES

Weather-Upending La Niña Is a Headache for Farmers Around the World

Characterized by cooler-than-normal waters in the Pacific, it causes dry conditions in some parts of the globe, heavy rains in others

By Lucy Craymer, WSJ, Dec 4, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/weather-upending-la-nina-is-a-headache-for-farmers-around-the-world-11607077803?mod=hp_lead_pos12

TWTW Summary: The journalist writes:

“La Niña is shaking up agriculture in an already-tumultuous year for commodity markets.

“The natural weather phenomenon, known as the cool sister of the better-known El Niño, occurs every few years. It is characterized by cooler-than-normal waters in the Pacific Ocean, causing dry weather in some parts of the globe and heavy rainfall in others.

“Past La Niñas have created significant market volatility and raised prices for many foods, and the current edition is already pushing up prices of crops such as corn and reducing supplies of pineapples and mangos. This event has the potential to last till the Northern Hemisphere spring, according to government forecasters in the U.S., Japan and Australia who monitor sea conditions.

“So far, dry conditions have been reported in Brazil, Argentina, and parts of the U.S., and bouts of excessive rain in Australia and parts of Southeast Asia.

“‘La Niña 2020 has evolved quicker and with stronger intensity than many leading climate models predicted,’ analysts from J.P. Morgan said in November, calling the phenomenon the ‘primary supply-side wild card’ for agricultural markets going into 2021.

“Prices of some U.S. crops have climbed this year, thanks in part to increased demand from China and a pandemic fueled baking craze. Futures prices for soybeans, corn and hard red winter wheat—the kind used in bread—have risen by as much as a third since a rally began on Aug. 10.

“As well as affecting prices, volatile weather could interfere with farmers’ ability to harvest and sell their crops. Australian farmer Mark Swift, now harvesting one of the best winter crops he has ever had, is hoping there won’t be much more rain in the coming weeks.

“‘We expect some rain but La Niña can turn it right on. It’s either Garden of Eden or Mordor,’ said Mr. Swift, referring to a grim realm in ‘The Lord of the Rings.’ ‘At the moment it’s Garden of Eden, so I’m wondering when Mordor is on its way back.’ La Niña also comes with the risk of increased hail and wind that, like the rain, could hurt the quality of his canola and wheat.

“Australian winter wheat production is expected to more than double in the current season, according to government data, following a widespread, yearslong drought. But heavy rains before harvest could reduce the quality and the amount of wheat produced.

“Even if production meets forecasts, it might not make up for declines in wheat output that could hit parts of South America, the Black Sea region and the southern U.S. unless they get rain soon. The regions are going through dry spells, and grain prices are facing upward pressure as a result.

“The last La Niña formed in November 2017 and lasted till April 2018. The biggest recent La Niña impact on the global food market came when one developed in July 2010, lasted through May 2011, and was followed by another later that year. The United Nations Food and Agriculture food price index—which includes globally traded commodities including meat, grains and dairy—hit a record high in 2011.

“In November, that index was near a six-year high.

“La Niña can lift prices for specialty products as well as widely traded global commodities, according to market-intelligence firm Tridge. Unseasonably heavy rain in Costa Rica has hurt pineapple production, it says, though U.S. restaurant closures during the pandemic has reduced demand and held down prices.”

The article concludes with discussing specific specialty products.

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