Weekly Local weather and Vitality Information Spherical Up #427

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Weekly Climate and Energy News Round Up #427

The week that was: 2020-10-17 (October 17th, 2020)

Presented by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The science and environmental project

Quote of the week:: “It is well known that (scientific) reputation is difficult to build and easy to lose. However, rebuilding is even more difficult. "- Professor Leonid Tsybeskov, New Jersey Institute of Technology (Physics today, October 2020, page 10) (H / t George Hacken)

Number of the week: 99%

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President of the Science and Environment Policy Project (SEPP)

Nobel Prize: Last week, TWTW checked the impending energy crisis: Are power outages inevitable? by Donn Dears. Loved ones discussed how the previous day's power generation auctions are distorting the electricity market by favoring non-dispatchable, unreliable, subsidized forms of power generation over dispatchable, reliable forms. The main forms of unreliable, subsidized forms are wind and sun (wind is used here for brevity). In the US, when daily weather forecasts show that the winds are favorable, the industrial wind can bid as low as it wants, but it receives the highest successful bid amount – the clearing price.

When the winds are unfavorable, the industrial wind doesn't have to offer. The responsibility for providing electricity rests with others, usually at a high cost to the consumer. In short, a reliable power grid is undermined by the flexibility of the industrial wind to cater in favorable winds with no consequence in adverse winds. This undermining of a reliable network is an unintended consequence of the auction system.

This week, two Americans were awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for their work on how auction designs have unintended consequences. The auction format influences both the information available and the various bid strategies. For example, if power auctions were to take place two weeks before the delivery date, Industriewind would be cautious with its bids – weather forecasts are not so good.

The work of economists has nothing to do with the energy markets, but the concept applies. The unintended consequences of using day-ahead auctions to determine which electricity offers are accepted can result in the lowest cost to the consumer for that day. However, such an auction format can cost the consumer dearly over time. Writes in Master Resource, Bill Peacock expresses concern that Texas may experience power outages similar to California's. He describes the system of pricing as "Predatory Pricing". See Article 1, Subsidies and Mandates Forever and https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2020/press-release/

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No wind today: Thanks to the Climate Change Act 2008 on Wellbeing, Great Britain is far further into an electricity crisis than the USA. The law prescribes a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by a total of 80% by 2050 in accordance with the UN Kyoto Protocol.

“The Kyoto basket includes the following six greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and the so-called F-gases (fluorocarbons and perfluorocarbons) and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6). Each gas is weighted and aggregated according to its global warming potential to get the total greenhouse gas emissions in CO2 equivalents. "

Note that water vapor, the most common greenhouse gas, is missing from the Kyoto list. This is one reason why UN climate science is highly questionable and all subsequent calculations of global warming potential are misleading.

Last week, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that every home in the UK will be powered by offshore wind by 2030, quadrupling wind capacity in ten years. Initial estimates by Gordon Hughes, who researched the economics of wind energy, suggest that the task could cost consumers £ 27 billion a year. There does not seem to be an excessive cost to citizens when self-righteous politicians go green. Hughes has promised a more complete study in the near future. A September 2020 report by Hughes and John Constable stated:

“The dramatically falling costs for renewable energies are a political, a media and a discussion cliché today. However, the claim is proven to be false. Audited accounts show that wind power is by no means cheaper, but actually more expensive. The failure of the UK public service to recognize this fact, and thereby protect consumers and taxpayers from the consequences of the impending failure of the renewable energy sector, raises important questions about the analytical skills of the Whitehall machine. "

Although the UK pricing system is different from the US system, neglect of the necessary backup is a common problem with those who claim wind costs are falling. Since the cost of offshore wind is primarily a cost of capital, the so-called green jobs will mainly go to the countries that make wind turbines and to companies that use the concrete and steel needed for massive foundations.

Nature quickly showed that Johnson only fools himself and those who believe him. On October 14th, the National Grid, which operates the UK Grid, reported that there may be a shortage of electrical energy for the next few days due to lack of wind. As John Constable wrote, the UK power grid is fragile and growing.

See links under survey of European Green, Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Glossary:Kyoto_basket#:~:text=The%20Kyoto%20basket%20encompasses%20the,sulphur%20hexafluoride%20(SF6).

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UN weather weapons: Last week TWTW linked a review by Anthony Sadar to Joe Bastardi's new book "The Weapon of Weather in False Climate War": Perhaps "extreme weather" is just weather. As if to promote Bastardi's new book, the UN Bureau of Disaster Risk Reduction has stated that climate disasters have doubled in the past 20 years (2000-2019). The report claims:

“In the period from 2000 to 2019, 7,348 disaster events were registered, in which 1.23 million people were killed. It affected 4.2 billion people (many more than once), causing global economic losses of around $ 2.97 trillion.

“This is a sharp increase over the past twenty years. Between 1980 and 1999, 4,212 natural disasters worldwide were associated with natural hazards, killing approximately 1.19 million people and affecting 3.25 billion people, resulting in economic losses of around $ 1.63 trillion. "

It goes on to say:

“Asia has seen the most catastrophic events. In total, there were 3,068 catastrophic events in Asia between 2000 and 2019, followed by 1,756 events in America and 1,192 events in Africa.

“In terms of affected countries worldwide, China (577 events) and the United States (467 events) reported the most catastrophic events, followed by India (321 events), the Philippines (304 events) and Indonesia (278 events). These countries all have large and heterogeneous land masses and relatively high population densities in vulnerable areas.

"Overall, eight of the ten countries are in Asia after disasters."

Economic improvements will increase the cost of disasters, but not deaths. Apparently the authors are unaware of the massive famine, drought, and flood deaths that repeatedly hit China, India, and other countries prior to 1980. The worst drought in the US was in the 1930s.

As stated in TWTW on December 28, 2019, Our World In Data has reported a massive drop in the number of people living in extreme poverty. Before COVID-19, deaths from extreme poverty decreased rapidly. The use of fossil fuels provided sanitary conditions, clean drinking water, access to electricity and other clean fuels for cooking, improved health, education and living standards, greatly improved nutrition, better health care, etc.

The current allegations are among the worst UN reports ever published. It can be argued that the United Nations is so focused on setting up its $ 100 billion a year Green Climate Fund that it will report anything, no matter how ill-founded. See links under Defense of Orthodoxy, Interviewing Orthodoxy Better Communicating with the Public – Make up, December 28, 2019 TWTW and https://ourworldindata.org/

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Change goals: The International Energy Agency is a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organization founded in 1974 as part of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development after the 1973 Oil Crisis. At one time it was necessary to counter OPEC and fears that the world would soon run out of oil. The IEA has been a useful reporting agency for international energy issues.

Now it is evident that the fear of running out of oil was premature at best. Unfortunately, the IEA has advocated wind and solar power, and their reports are less than stellar. For example, it has been reported that solar is or will become the cheapest source of electricity. The claim is pure nonsense. Civilization doesn't stop when the sun fades and disappears. The question becomes what does solar energy cost at midnight? The work of the IEA has been heavily influenced by the political inclinations of its leaders, so work, like the work of the United Nations, must be approached with caution. See the links under Communicating Better With The Public – Making Things Up.

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Another methane? At room temperature, laughing gas (N2O), also known as laughing gas, is a colorless, non-flammable gas with a pleasant, slightly sweet smell and taste. It is used as an anesthetic in surgery and dentistry. It is also made in agriculture and from fertilizer. Based on a study in the journal Nature, it is claimed as a greenhouse gas to be 300 times more potent than carbon dioxide. The "science" mentioned in the abstract of the paper is Assessment Report 5 of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (AR 5, 2013). This is a big problem with work.

The IPCC modelers take into account the effect of water vapor on the overall effect of greenhouse gases only after the calculations have been completed. Then water vapor is added. As a result, the calculated global warming potential of various gases is distorted, since water vapor is present in the earth's atmosphere. This is similar to the problem of calculating the global warming potential of methane in the absence of water vapor. As described in the TWTW of September 12th and 19th, the presence of water vapor eliminates the global warming potential of methane. With nitrous oxide, water vapor practically eliminates its global warming potential. See the links under Communicating Better With The Public – Making Things Up.

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Number of weeks: 99%. Frank Macchiarola, senior vice president of politics, economics, and regulation at the American Petroleum Institute, criticizes California Governor Gavin Newson's order to ban the sale of internal combustion engines:

"According to the US Environmental Protection Agency, research and development has driven manufacturers over the past 30 years to reduce emissions from internal combustion engine pollutants by 99% to meet EPA emissions standards. The US Department of Energy also found that research and development has led to improvements in engine performance and efficiency. "

When 99% is nearly accurate, the advances made by automotive engineers and oil companies in the internal combustion engine are remarkable. See links under California Dreaming.

Comment: Is the sun rising?

Low solar activity is colder than normal European winter 2020/21

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, October 16, 2020

Challenging Orthodoxy – NIPCC

Climate change covered II: Physics

Idso, Carter and Singer, lead authors / editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate change reconsidered II: Biological effects

Idso, Idso, Carter and Singer, Lead Authors / Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Covered II: Fossil Fuels

By multiple authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates and Singer eds., Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

CCR II: Fossil Fuels

Free download:

Why Scientists Disagree with Global Warming

The NIPCC Scientific Consensus Report

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter and S. Fred Singer, Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), November 23, 2015

Home

Free download:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, not human activity, rules the climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea Level Rise: An Analysis of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging Orthodoxy

UN disaster reporting is a huge mistake and an embarrassment

Press release, GWPF, October 12, 2020

UN claim "Stunning increase in climate emergencies since 2000"

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 13, 2020

Link to UN report: Human Costs of Disasters: An Overview of the Past 20 Years 2000-2019

By contributor: Center for Disaster Epidemiology Research (CRED), United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), 2020

Half of the corals are dead – but not in real life

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, October 15, 2020

Link to questionable paper: Long-term shifts in the colony structure of coral populations along the Great Barrier Reef

By Andreas Dietzel, Michael Bode, Sean R. Connolly and Terry P. Hughes, Royal Society B proceedings, October 14, 2020

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2020.1432

From the summary: "In the northern and central regions of the Great Barrier Reef, the declines after the bleaching of bulk corals were particularly pronounced in 2016 and 2017."

(SEPP comment: in the long term ends in three years?)

Half the reef has been destroyed, but the data will not be published

By Jo Nova, Your Blog, October 16, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/half-the-reef-destroyed-but-they-wont-release-the-data/

(SEPP comment: See link directly above.)

Climate "weeds" versus "altitude" survey

By Rud Istvan, WUWT, October 13, 2020

The West Intends Energy Suicide: Will It Work?

By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, October 10, 2020 (H / t GWPF)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/tilakdoshi/2020/10/10/the-west-intends-energy-suicide-will-it-succeed/#12c88044490e

"The judging panel is in: Modern economic growth has not shown that a country can develop successfully without the simultaneous use of fossil fuels, and ordinary people around the world are fully aware of this."

A quick note on airplanes, clouds, and global warming

By Patrick Michaels, CEI, October 15, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/brief-note-airplane-clouds-and-global-warming

Link to the paper: The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate protection for the years 2000 to 2018

By D. S. Lee et al. Atmospheric environment, September 3, 2020

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231020305689?via%3Dihub#!

What the pandemic taught us about science

By Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist on Oct 9, 2020

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/what-the-pandemic-has-taught-us/

(SEPP Comment: Complete post from Ridley's paper published in the Wall Street Journal and discussed in TWTW last week.)

Defend Orthodoxy

UN warns of climate catastrophes that have doubled in the last 20 years

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, October 13, 2020

(SEPP Comment: Good review of outrageous UN report.)

Go on, doctor!

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 16, 2020

Link to the report: Provision of a national health service "Net Zero"

By staff, NHS, October 2020

From the report: "The NHS must also respond to the health emergency that climate change brings about and that must be embedded in everything we do now and in the future."

"The NHS must also respond to the health emergency that climate change brings and that must be embedded in everything we do now and in the future."

(SEPP comment: And how many die in operating theaters and intensive care units when the power goes out?)

European Parliament votes for economic suicide

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 12, 2020

The heads of state and government of the EU disagreed on new climate targets for 2030

By Samuel Petrequin, AP, Via Washington Post, October 15, 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/eu-leaders-divided-over-new-climate-goals-for-2030/2020/10/15/55142d54-0ece-11eb-b404-8d1e675ec701_story.html

SSE boss praises wind power!

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 16, 2020

The company's website states, "SSE Renewables is a leading developer and operator of renewable energy in the UK and Ireland."

Protesters are damned … German draft law wants to raise unstable green energies to the status of "national security"!

By Jouwatch, (translated / edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, October 13, 2020

Questioning Orthodoxy

Experts say

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"As for predictions in advance, what are they, scientists who test hypotheses against subsequent data, or just scientists who say?"

UN in the event of a disaster: if you can't, you scold

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, October 14, 2020

A geological perspective of polar bears

By David Middleton, WUWT, October 11, 2020

Peak Climate Religion: UN says the earth should become an uninhabitable hell

By Jo Nova, Your Blog, October 14, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/peak-climate-religion-un-says-earth-to-become-uninhabitable-hell/

(SEPP comment: The UN no longer believes its own numbers.)

This game is difficult

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"Because … all the effects of climate change are bad."

To Paris!

Europe admits that the Paris Agreement will fail

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, October 14, 2020

Why prolong the pain? Countries must end their harmful allegiance to the Paris Agreement

By Vijay Jayaraj, WUWT, October 17, 2020

Social benefits of carbon dioxide

Warming nights, longer growing seasons, and a greener planet

By Patrick Michaels, CEI, October 15, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/warming-nights-longer-growing-seasons-and-greener-planet

Link to the paper: Global variation of the daily asymmetry in relation to temperature, cloud cover, specific humidity and precipitation and their association with the leaf area index

By Daniel T. C. Cox et al. Global Change Biology, September 30, 2020

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.15336

I'm looking for common ground

Sir Samuel Brittan (1933-2020)

By staff, GWPF & The Spectator, October 12, 2020

Do you do your own research?

By Kip Hansen, WUWT, October 12, 2020

(SEPP Comment: Before Matt Ridley's paper, an article in Forbes claimed it was too difficult to do your own research. This paper discusses both arguments.)

Question everything but you-know-what

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

Science, Politics and Evidence

A new approach to Covid-19

Letter from 12 Conservative colleagues to the Times:

Posted by Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist on Oct 10th 2020

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/a-new-approach-to-covid-19/

"If Lockdown was a treatment that was undergoing a clinical trial, the trial would be stopped because of the side effects."

Energexit

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

That governments pay attention to constituents is also the whole point of public election theory, as government members react to incentives in the same way as those in the private sector. But the incentives are inherently different as it is primarily about power and votes, not profits. It's far easier to be wrong. However, we continue to develop one program at a time, assuming that it does not and that mere motives push self-interest aside. You won't do it.

Review of current scientific articles from CO2 Science

The resilience of sea urchin larvae colonization under ocean acidification

Espinel-Velasco, N., Agüera, A., Lamare, M. 2020. Sea urchin larvae show resistance to ocean acidification at the time of colonization and metamorphosis. Marine Environmental Research 159: 104977. October 16, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a7.php

Interactions between carbon dioxide and salinity in four sorghum genotypes

Keramat, S., Eshghizadeh, H. R., Zahedi, M. and Nematpour, A. 2020. Growth and biochemical changes of sorghum genotypes in response to carbon dioxide and salinity interactions. Cereal Research Communications 48: 325-350; 332 October 14, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a6.php

How dangerous (or unusual) is a temperature rise of 2 ° C above pre-industrial levels?

Margaritelli, G., Cacho, I., Catala, A., Barra, M., Bellucci, L. G., Lubritto, C., Rettori, R. and Lirer, F. 2020. Persistently warm Mediterranean surface water during Roman times. Scientific Reports 10: 10431, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67281-2. October 12, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a5.php

Models v. Observations

Massive ozone hole over Antarctica casts doubt on restoration claims

By staff, GWPF & Sky News, October 11, 2020

(SEPP Comment: 2016 video in which the "healing" of the ozone hole over the Antarctic is questioned.)

Are climate researchers too cautious when associating extreme weather with climate change?

By Hannah Hickey, University of Washington, October 14, 2020

https://phys.org/news/2020-10-climate-scientists-cautious-linking-extreme.html

Link to the paper: Can the issuing of warnings about dangerous weather conditions influence the assignment of extreme events to climate change?

By Dale Durran, BAMS, September 2, 2020

https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/8/E1452/345616/Can-the-Issuance-of-Hazardous-Weather-Warnings

(SEPP Commentary: Assuming the entire rise in surface temperatures is due to greenhouse gases – a false premise.)

Measurement problems – surface

New video: Changes to the US temperature record (part 2)

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/new-video-alterations-to-the-us-temperature-record-part-2/

Mismatched GHCN data shows that Durban, a city in the KwaZulu-Natal province of South Africa, has been on a cooling trend since 1885!

By Kirye, Tony Hellers Blog, Oct 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/ghcn-unadjusted-data-show-durban-a-city-of-kwazulu-natal-province-in-south-africa-has-seen-a-cooling-trend- since 1885 /

Changing weather

David Simon: "Let's be serious, more CO2 does not make the earth" uninhabitable "."

By Robert Bradley, Jr.Master Resource on October 22, 2020

"And EM-DAT (The International Disaster Database) data shows that the number of people killed by natural disasters has fallen from nearly 55,000 a year to less than 10,000 a year since 1920."

Fires of 1910

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/fires-of-1910/

Video: Great Fires of 1910

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 13, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/great-fires-of-1910/

(SEPP Comment: There is no support for the claim that forest and prairie fires are on the rise.)

Our mornings were warm: blame the blob!

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, October 14, 2020

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/10/our-mornings-have-been-warm-blame-blob.html

Change climate

Climate change likely caused early human species to become extinct, according to a model study

Press release, Cell Press, October 15, 2020 (H / t WUWT)

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-10/cp-ccl100720.php

Link to the paper: Earlier extinctions of homo species associated with an increased vulnerability to climate change

From Pasquale Raia et al., One Earth, Oct 15, 2020

https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(20)30476-0?utm_source=EA

(SEPP comment: Just shows how unique H. sapiens is! They can take cold and heat.)

Changing seas

Unannounced reconstruction of the 2000 year global ocean temperature reveals embarrassingly small modern changes

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, October 12, 2020

Link to Paper: Robust Global Ocean Cooling Trend for the Pre-Industrial Common Era

Helen V. McGregor et al. Nature Geoscience, August 17th, 2015

https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2510

Altering the cryosphere – land / sea ice

Greenland and the 1950s Climate Consensus

By Jim Steele, Landscapes and Cycles, Oct 13, 2020

http://landscapesandcycles.net/greenland-and-the-1950s-climate-consensus–.html

New study: East Antarctica was up to 6 ° C warmer than it is today during the Medieval Warm Period

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, October 15, 2020

Link to the second article: Thermal legacy of a great paleolake in the Taylor Valley in East Antarctica

as evidenced by an electromagnetic survey in the air

From Krista Myers et al. The cryosphere, September 25, 2020

Lower standards

Nature gives up science and advocates a unified totalitarianism

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT on October 17, 2020

Communicate better with the public – use yellow (green) journalism?

Climate change is a factor in most of the 7,000 natural disasters in the last 20 years: UN report

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, October 12, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520651-climate-change-a-factor-in-most-of-the-7000-natural-disasters-over

One study found that ocean warming killed half of the corals in the Great Barrier Reef

By Justine Coleman, The Hill, Oct 10, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520933-study-finds-ocean-warming-has-killed-half-the-coral-in-great

Communicate better with the public – exaggerate or be vague?

Climate change has a cow and worm problem

Scientists discovered a disturbing feedback loop

By Justine Calma, The Verge, Oct 7, 2020

https://www.theverge.com/21505736/climate-change-cattle-livestock-infectious-disease-methane

Link to the paper: Infectious diseases, livestock and the climate: a vicious circle?

By Vanessa Ezenwa, Trends in Ecology & Evolution, October 7, 2020

https://www.cell.com/trends/ecology-evolution/fulltext/S0169-5347(20)30227-5

From the paper: “Methane is a greenhouse gas that affects global warming 28 to 36 times more than CO2. Over the past decade, atmospheric methane concentrations have increased rapidly, and around half of that increase is related to emissions from farm animals, particularly ruminants (2). Here we argue that persistent climate change not only increases infectious diseases in animals (1), but that pathogens in turn can worsen methane production in animals, leading to a potentially malignant climate-disease cycle. "

(SEPP comment: The opening sentence only applies to artificially dried laboratory air. Only a few cows live in artificially dried laboratories.)

Communicate better with the public – make things up.

Solar is now the "cheapest electricity in history," confirms the IEA

By multiple authors, Carbon Brief, October 13, 2020

(SEPP Comment: How much of that cheap electricity can you buy for a million dollars at midnight?)

New UN climate series: Alarm report contradicts its own data

By Edwin Timmer, De Telegraaf, Trans GWPF, October 14, 2020

New UN climate series: Alarming report contradicts its own data – De Telegraaf

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 15, 2020

(SEPP comment: Homewood publishes the exponential curve, which describes: “Occurrence of natural disasters, reported in EMDAT: 1900 – 2003.)

Booker & The BBC & # 39; s Endless Bias

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 13, 2020

“The misuse of the EM-DAT disaster database is not limited to the corrupt UN. Readers may recall an IPPR report by Roger Harrabin which ridiculously claimed, "Since 2005, the number of floods has increased 15 times, extreme temperature events 20 times and forest fires seven times elevated."

Claims about the dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals are false

Korallenexperte trifft auf Medienberichte

Pressemitteilung, GWPF, 15. Oktober 2020

Behauptung: Neue Forschung: Lachgasemissionen, die 300-mal so stark sind wie CO., Gefährden die Zukunft der Erde

Von Charles Rotter, WUWT, 12. Oktober 2020

Link zum Papier: Eine umfassende Quantifizierung der globalen Lachgasquellen und -senken

Von Hanqin Tian et al. Nature, 7. Oktober 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2780-0

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – Umfrage durchführen?

Indien, China und die USA sind die größten Klimaskeptiker, neue Umfrage

Von Pippa Neill, Environmental Journal, 15. Oktober 2020

https://environmentjournal.online/articles/india-china-and-the-us-are-the-biggest-climate-sceptics-new-survey/

(SEPP-Kommentar: Wie viel Prozent der Befragten leben auf Existenzminimum?)

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – Propaganda nutzen

Die Kohlendioxidemissionen dürfen die Werte von 2019 bis 2027 nicht überschreiten: Analyse

Von Rachel Frazin, The Hill, 13. Oktober 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520776-carbon-dioxide-emissions-may-not-surpass-2019-levels-until-2027

(SEPP-Kommentar: Foto von unsichtbarem CO2, das einen rosaroten Himmel verursacht.)

Besser mit der Öffentlichkeit kommunizieren – Protest

Protest-Stunt von neun deutschen Tree-Hugger-Idioten führt zu einem riesigen Stau auf der Autobahn, einem „Horror Crash“

Von P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, 14. Oktober 2020

Erweiterung der Orthodoxie

Nur die erfundenen Fakten, Sir

Von John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, 14. Oktober 2020

"Als er die NATO aufforderte, den Klimawandel zu bekämpfen, begann ihr Generalsekretär Jens Stoltenberg einen Op Ed." Als ich in Norwegen aufgewachsen bin, habe ich in der Schule gelernt, dass die Temperaturen in Spitzbergen, der arktischen Heimat des Eisbären, kaum über den Gefrierpunkt steigen würden. " Wenn ja, hätte er ein D oder andere Lehrer bekommen sollen, denn tatsächlich waren die durchschnittlichen Sommertemperaturen in Svaldbard, der arktischen Heimat des Eisbären, seit 1910 routinemäßig über dem Gefrierpunkt. “

„Obwohl Stoltenberg, der interessanterweise nie Soldat war, sondern von seiner kommunistischen Schwester für Friedensaktivismus rekrutiert wurde und während seiner Arbeit für die norwegische Regierung einen KGB-Codenamen hatte, sagte er:„ Die NATO muss auch bereit sein, auf klimabedingte Katastrophen zu reagieren Genau wie während der COVID-19-Krise. "

(SEPP-Kommentar: Der Chef der NATO aus Norwegen kennt die Geschichte der Arktis nicht? Zweifellos versteht er die CO2-Auswirkungen auf den Klimawandel oder die Militärstrategie.)

Europäisches Grün in Frage stellen

Green Con: Die britischen Energieriesen bezeichnen ihren schmutzigen Kraftstoff als grün

Von Mitarbeitern, The Sunday Times, Via GWPF, 10. Oktober 2020

„Unabhängig davon, welchen Tarif Sie haben, erhält jeder Haushalt im Land genau die gleiche Energie aus dem National Grid. Selbst wenn Sie sich für einen 100-prozentigen Ökostromversorger angemeldet haben, erhalten Sie 40,6 Prozent Gas, 2,1 Prozent Kohle und 17,3 Prozent Atomkraft. Nur 37,1 Prozent stammen aus erneuerbaren Energien, darunter Wind, Sonne und Bioenergie. "

Boris Johnsons Versprechen, Windkraft für jedes Haus bereitzustellen, könnte die Verbraucher 27 Milliarden Pfund pro Jahr kosten.

Von Mitarbeitern, The Sunday Telegraph, Via GWPF, 11. Oktober 2020

Mangel an Windfunken UK Energy Alert

Von Mitarbeitern, Daily Telegraph, Via GWPF, 15. Oktober 2020

“The news comes just a week after Boris Johnson pledged to quadruple British offshore wind capacity to 40GW within the decade, part of a so-called green industrial revolution that the Prime Minister believes could create millions of jobs over the next 10 years.”

Media Finally Wakes Up To The Problems With Wind Power

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Oct 10, 2020

Windfarm farce that blew £1.4billion of YOUR money! As Boris Johnson trumpets his vision of powering every home with turbines, we reveal the botched scheme that will inflate bills for 20 YEARS

Boris Johnson has declared that wind power is the future of Britain’s energy

But an investigation has revealed turbine owners are being paid over the odds

Civil servants set subsidy rate so high it’s been branded ‘licence to print money’

By Sam Greenhill, Daily Mail, Oct 9, 2020

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8824707/Windfarm-farce-blew-1-4billion-taxpayers-money.html

Questioning Green Elsewhere

The other boot falls

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, Oct 14, 2020

“If it sounds like pork now comes in green, well, you’re starting to get the idea.” Canada

The Political Games Continue

Climate Science and Supreme Court

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Oct 16, 2020

Litigation Issues

Supreme Court Nominee Barrett in Senate Testimony Alarms Climate Alarmists

By Myron Ebell, CEI, Oct 16, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/supreme-court-nominee-barrett-senate-testimony-alarms-climate%C2%A0alarmists

State of Delaware v. BP America Inc, et al.

By Russell Cook, The Gelbspan Files.org, Oct 13, 2020

State of Delaware v. BP America Inc, et al.

(SEPP Comment: Some law firms believe there is no reason to substantiate their accusations – if they are out to save the world.)

Supreme Court Resolving Frivolous Climate Suits

By Craig Richardson, Real Clear Energy, Oct 13, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/12/the_supreme_court_is_takingcriticalstep_towards_resolving_frivolous_climate_suits_580452.html

Maui Joins Climate Litigation Campaign

By William Allison, EID, Oct 13, 2020

Maui Joins Climate Litigation Campaign As Plaintiffs’ Attorneys Seek To Gain From “Disgorgement Of Profits”

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part III: Time for Regulators to Investigate Predatory Pricing in Texas?)

By Bill Peacock, Master Resource, Oct 15, 2020

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part III: Time for Regulators to Investigate Predatory Pricing in Texas?)

“It turns out that consumers are the ones being hunted down by the pricing practices of the renewable industry, aided and abetted by government. And no one in government seems to care.”

(SEPP Comment: The PUC is the Public Utility Commission of Texas.)

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part II: Harming ERCOT)

By Bill Peacock, Master Resource, Oct 14, 2020

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part II: Harming ERCOT)

“Market prices tend to go negative when there is low consumer demand and the thermal generators that have chosen to remain online cannot be backed down further to allow the available, lower-cost wind generation to serve consumer demand. In situations like this, some wind generators will be curtailed to balance generation with load. In these cases, since wind is the marginal generation, it sets the market price, which may be low or negative. In 2017, system-wide negative pricing occurred during 64 hours; in 2018, as of August, during 30 hours.”

Energy Issues – Non-US

IEA: energy investment to drop by 18% in 2020

World Energy Outlook 2020 report calls for faster structural changes but hails solar the ‘new king’ of electricity

By Dominic Ellis, Energy, Oct 14, 2020

https://www.energydigital.com/oil-and-gas/iea-energy-investment-drop-18-2020

Link to World Energy Outlook 2020

By Staff, IEA, Oct 2020

https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2020#

How is Britain’s most efficient windfarm doing?

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 14, 2020

How is Britain’s Most Efficient Windfarm Doing?

“What we can therefore say, with some certainty, is that the offshore wind fleet is, as a whole, destroying wealth at a remarkable pace.”

(SEPP Comment: By Orwellian logic, politicians call throwing public money at a loser “investment.”)

UK to Power Every Home With Offshore Wind by 2030

By Charles Kennedy Oil Price.com, Oct 6, 2020

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/UK-Looks-To-Power-Every-Home-With-Offshore-Wind-Energy-By-2030.html

See link immediately above.

Energy Issues – Australia

Extension cord to rescue renewable South Australia will now cost $2.4 billion

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Oct 10, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/extension-cord-to-rescue-renewable-south-australia-will-now-cost-2-4-billion/

Energy Issues — US

We Need Blackouts

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Oct 16, 2020

We Need Blackouts

Solar Power Costs 2-3 Times As Much As Wind, Fossil Fuels and Nuclear

By David Middleton, WUWT, Oct 13, 2020

(SEPP Comment: Comparing claims with data, such as U.S. average wholesale electricity prices by generating technology (2019))

Exposing the Eco-Activists’ ‘Greening’ of Pennsylvania in 2020

By Hayden Ludwig & Kevin Mooney, Real Clear Energy, Oct 14, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/14/exposing_the_eco-activists_greening_of_pennsylvania_in_2020_580648.html

Washington’s Control of Energy

Congress Proposes More Big Government Intervention in Energy Markets

By H. Sterling Burnett, The Heartland Institute, Oct 15, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/special-edition-on-energy-legislation–congress-proposes-more-government-intervention-in-energy-markets

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Calls for Carbon Pricing

By Marlo Lewis, Jr. CEI, Oct 16, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/federal-energy-regulatory-commission-calls-carbon-pricing

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

OPEC rejects projection that global demand for oil has peaked

Cartel of oil-exporting nations expects demand to continue rising until late 2030s

By Jillian Ambrose, The Guardian, Oct 8, 2020

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/oct/08/opec-rejects-projection-that-global-demand-for-oil-has-peaked

(SEPP Comment: Forty years ago, OPEC rejected the projections that the world would run out of oil around the year 2000!)

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

Blow for UK’s power supply: National Grid warns lack of wind could plunge Britain into darkness

By Francesca Washtell, Daily Mail, Oct 15, 2020 (H/t GWPF)

https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/article-8844697/National-Grid-warns-lack-wind-plunge-Britain-darkness.html

Link to: The Brink of Darkness: Britain’s fragile power grid

By John Constable, GWPF, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2020/06/Constable-Brink-of-Darkness.pdf

(SEPP Comment: Will Climate Change be blamed?)

Hywind, low economics: the cost of floating offshore wind power

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 16, 2020

Hywind, Low Economics: The Cost of Floating Offshore Wind Power

“Unfortunately, according to Hywind’s most recent accounts, this improved performance comes at a cost. At £264 million, its paltry 30MW of capacity cost its backers £8.8m per megawatt. This compares to £3.5m for fixed offshore wind (which operates at much lower load factor) , and £0.6 million for gas turbines (which can operate at much higher ones). So the projects backers are paying three times the price of fixed offshore wind, for marginally higher output.”

“All this means that the underlying economics of the project are appalling. Hywind only managed to clock up £5 million of electricity sales, and its underlying position is a loss of £15 million or so. Still, the developers will not be overly worried; subsidies from the government brought in another £29 million of income, and so they are sitting pretty on a profit of £13 million.”

Floating windfarm to sink backers?

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 15, 2020

Floating windfarm to sink backers?

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Hydrogen Future Would Triple Energy Bills

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Oct 16, 2020

Hydrogen Future Would Triple Energy Bills

California Dreaming

California’s Failed Climate Change Policy

By Daniel Kolkey, Real Clear Energy, Oct 15, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/15/californias_failed_climate_change_policy_580860.html

California’s Energy Dreamin’

Frank Macchiarola Real Clear Energy October 14, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/13/california_energy_dreaming_580493.html

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE

UN warns that world risks becoming ‘uninhabitable hell’ for millions unless leaders take climate action

By Helen Regan, CNN, Oct 13, 2020

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/13/world/un-natural-disasters-climate-intl-hnk/index.html?utm_content=2020-10-13T12%3A19%3A04&utm_term=link&utm_source=twCNN&utm_medium=social

Climate Reparations

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Oct 14, 2020

Naomi Oreskes: Exxon Misled the Public about Climate Change

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Oct 16, 2020

(SEPP Comment: More from “No Evidence” Oreskes.

ARTICLES

1. Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences Is Awarded to U.S. Academics

The prize was shared by two Americans for invention of new auction formats

By Paul Hannon, WSJ, Oct 12, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nobel-prize-in-economic-sciences-is-awarded-to-u-s-academics-for-invention-of-new-auction-formats-11602496403?mod=hp_lead_pos10

TWTW Summary: the reporter writes:

"UNS. academics Paul R. Milgrom and Robert B. Wilson have been awarded the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for new insights into how auctions work, and how different auction designs can help buyers and sellers meet their goals.

“The announcement Monday gave the U.S. a clean sweep of this year’s Nobel Prizes, with at least one American citizen winning in each of the five categories for which individuals were selected.

“‘There has been an enormous investment in research in the U.S., and that has paid off,’ said Göran K. Hansson, secretary-general of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which awards the prize in economics.

“Auctions play a big part in setting the price of many of the goods and services people use every day, although their reach isn’t always appreciated, even by those who have spent decades studying them.”

After discussing a personal statement, the article continues:

“The application of the insights and new designs developed by Drs. Milgrom and Wilson have been particularly significant for allocating public goods, such as radio spectrum, fishing quotas and airport landing slots.

“While governments and taxpayers want to maximize their revenues from selling those goods, the danger is that they will be too successful, and force the winner to pay so much that delivery of the associated service—such as mobile phone connections or flights—is impaired. Understanding how auction formats match complex objectives helps avoid such outcomes.

“Their insights could also help hospitals and governments trying to secure protective equipment during a pandemic from competing against each other and bidding up the price, as happened this year when a shortage of personal protective equipment and ventilators led to high prices, said Dr. Milgrom in a press conference arranged by Stanford University, where both winners are professors.

“Their theory has benefited ‘buyers, sellers, taxpayers, end users and society as a whole,’ said Tommy Andersson, a member of the Nobel Economics Committee.

"DR. Wilson, who was born in Geneva, Neb., got his first taste of auctions as a boy when he would attend cattle auctions Saturday mornings, watching the cows being sold one by one.

“The auctions he later developed, however, are much more complicated. For instance, a bidder in a radio-spectrum auction might want two licenses, covering separate areas. If the licenses are sold one at a time, the bidder could end up buying the first license at too high a price, leaving him unable to afford the second and then having no use for the first.

“‘Our auction was intended to enable the assembly of efficient packages,’ said Dr. Wilson. ‘This isn’t the kind of problem you run into with cattle being paraded one by one in the local ring. These are not single-item things that don’t have complementarities.’

“Thanks in part to the work of the two economists, auctions now play a big part in setting the price of many everyday goods and services.”

The article concludes with more personal issues.

******************

2. Science, Uncertainty and Pandemic Response

Science fixes mistakes as science advances.

Letters, WSJ, Oct 16, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/science-uncertainty-and-pandemic-response-11602887080?mod=opinion_major_pos16

Matt Ridley’s essay ‘What the Pandemic Has Taught Us About Science’ (Review, Oct. 10) is flawed. Science fixes mistakes as science advances. In citing the errors of some scientists, Mr. Ridley ignores studies done by highly credible scientific institutions such as the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine that produce expert, objective, nonpolitical, independent, public assessments of scientific knowledge relevant to important issues. Such institutions have a responsibility to accurately say what is known from science, what isn’t known and what the uncertainties are.

TWTW agrees that science fixes mistakes as science advances. However, given that in addressing the Greenhouse Effect they ignore what is being measured in the atmosphere TWTW strongly questions the statement that: “highly credible scientific institutions such as the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine that produce expert, objective, nonpolitical, independent, public assessments of scientific knowledge relevant to important issues.”

Mr. Ridley touts Sweden’s experience during the pandemic and fails to mention Finland. Here are recent data with Finland listed first and Sweden second: deaths per 100,000 (6 vs. 58), total cases per 100,000 (210 vs. 967). Also, the economic performance of Finland during the pandemic has been better than that of Sweden.

Using science in a crisis is essential even when there are large uncertainties in science and uncertainties in what people and countries will do. Science can advise on what is working and not working as decisions are being made and actions taken. Scientific knowledge about SARS-CoV-2 and Covid-19 has expanded rapidly, and new knowledge should be informing decisions.

E. William Colglazier, Ph.D.

American Association for the Advancement of Science

McLean, Va.

*************

"Herr. Ridley admonishes us that the only way to be absolutely sure that one scientific pronouncement is reliable is to examine the evidence yourself. I would be interested to know how he would propose the layperson goes about preparing herself or himself to parse and review such medical information.”

James Wilbur Mimbs, M.D.

Edgefield, S.C.

*************

“To all the yard signs claiming that ‘Science is real,’ I would like to add ‘and complicated.’”

Jim Mayhall

Lake Bluff, Ill.

*************

"Herr. Ridley’s essay should be required reading for all pundits and governors. Science can’t determine should or shouldn’t. It only informs our choices, which must ultimately be based on values and preferences. There is no one ‘right’ balance between freedom and prudence, and the rules that strike that balance must be worked out by negotiation and compromise. This makes it all the more frustrating when leaders refer to ‘the science’ as justification for long-term suspension of our democratic process, as if it makes their decisions somehow objective and therefore unarguable. It is equally frustrating when the public accepts this abuse of science and allows itself to be disenfranchised.”

Theodore Zachary

Detroit

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