“Wind was working nearly in addition to anticipated”… A Texas-sized Power Lie – Watts Up With That?

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Texas to boost grid resilience with more wind & solar, according to Clean Technica – Watts Up With That?

Guest “Fact Checking the Fact Checkers” by David Middleton

Note on checking trolls: The image shown is a meme. Check out the word meme before babbling about the frozen wind turbine that is not in Texas. I also referred to the incredibly cold weather, snow and ice of the past few weeks as Winter Storm Younger Dryas. It’s my unofficial nickname for the Texas weather February 9-18, 2021. Fact checkers who say this storm name doesn’t exist are very likely to be ridiculed.

Meme: “An amusing or interesting article (such as a picture or video with captions), or a genre of article that is widely available online, particularly through social media.”

Have you ever heard someone say, “Everything is bigger in Texas”?

Well … The Lamestream media lies about the recent energy disaster in Texas were Texas-sized.

This is only a small selection …

Fact check: Renewable energies are not responsible for the energy crisis in Texas
According to experts and industry data, natural gas, the state’s dominant source of energy, has delivered drastically less energy than expected.

[…]

“Wind was almost as good as expected,” said Sam Newell, head of the power company at Brattle Group, an energy consultancy that advised Texas on its power grid.

“It’s an order of magnitude smaller” than problems with natural gas, coal and nuclear energy, he said.

[…]

NBC News

WINTER STORM 2021
No, frozen wind turbines are not the number one cause of blackouts in Texas
The lost wind power should make up a fraction of the winter generation. All sources – from natural gas to nuclear power, coal to solar – struggled to generate electricity during the storm that left millions of Texans in the dark.

[,,,]

Frozen wind turbines in Texas prompted some conservative state politicians to declare Tuesday that the state was overly reliant on renewable energy. In reality, however, wind power was supposed to be a fraction of what the state had planned for the winter.

[…]

Texas Tribune

No, wind farms are not the main cause of the Texas blackouts
The state’s widespread blackout was largely caused by the freezing of natural gas pipelines. That didn’t stop fossil fuel proponents from shifting the blame.

[…]

Wind power wasn’t primarily responsible for the Texas blackouts, however. The main problem was cold temperatures that halted natural gas production, which is responsible for most of Texas’s electricity supply. Wind makes up only a fraction – around 7 percent by estimates – of the state’s total power generation mix at this time of year.

[…]

New York Times

  • “The wind was almost as good as expected”
  • [W]Power was expected to be a fraction of what the state had planned for the winter.
  • Wind makes up only a fraction – around 7 percent by estimates – of the state’s total power generation mix at this time of year.

The “Break” link in the New York Times article leads to the Texas Tribune article I cited. The “Break” link in this article leads to another Texas Tribune article that states:

It was expected that only 7% of ERCOT’s forecast winter capacity, or 6 gigawatts, would come from various wind power sources across the state.

Texas Tribune

That’s just a blatant lie … or a very confused journalist.

ERCOT (Electric Reliability Council of Texas) wind performance is fairly reliable in winter, especially February.

EIA Texas power profile 2019

In February 2020 wind made up 26% of ERCOT’s electricity generation …

ERCOT Fuel Mix Report: 2020

From 2016 to 2020, wind made up at least 20% of ERCOT’s February generation.

ERCOT% Feb Generation from wind
2011 10%
2012 11%
2013 13%
2014 10%
2015 12%
2016 20%
2017 23%
2018 25%
2019 24%
2020 26%
2021 (February 1-8) 30%
2021 (February 9-18) 8th%

ERCOT Fuel Mix Report

In February 2021, before the younger dryas of the winter storm, the wind made up 30% of ERCOT’s electricity production …

EIA Hourly Grid Monitor

During the winter storm Younger Dryas, the wind dropped to 8% of ERCOT electricity generation, while natural gas as a percentage of ERCOT electricity generation more than doubled.

EIA Hourly Grid Monitor

While there were serious problems with heat generating sources from February 15-18, wind was basically a no-show from February 9-18.

EIA Hourly Grid Monitor

And that lies in these fact checker claims:

  • Fact check: Renewable energies are not responsible for the energy crisis in Texas
  • No, frozen wind turbines are not the number one cause of blackouts in Texas
  • No, wind farms are not the main cause of the Texas blackouts
  • Renewable energies are the reason Texas has less natural gas and coal capacity than usual.
  • Frozen wind turbines were the reason why coal-fired power plants operated from February 9th to 14th with> 90% of the capacity and natural gas power plants from February 11th to 14th with 70% to over 80% of the capacity.
  • Wind farms are not the main cause of Texas blackouts as most of them have already been taken offline by freezing temperatures and ice. Almost a week before the blackouts! Where’s my Sam Kinison video?

The Lamestream media’s desperation to proactively defend wind power during this fiasco would be funny if not the fact that this lie quickly caught on so much that I even repeated it. In a rational sense, wind power did not do better than expected.

Even so, wind power in Texas has generally been very successful … The problem is that ERCOT’s plan for a catastrophic wind power failure apparently hoped that natural gas, coal and nuclear power plants could operate successfully up to around 90% of capacity. Wind power came online again.

“Hope is not a tactic.”

Mark Wahlberg as Mike Williams in Deepwater Horizon

Despite system-wide outages, natural gas is the only reason this energy disaster did not claim hundreds, if not thousands, of lives. Winter Storm Younger Dryas is likely to outperform Hurricane Harvey as the costliest natural disaster in Texas history, and ERCOT was potentially the most costly natural disaster in US history within five minutes of starting load shedding.

Former Texas Public Utilities Commissioner Rebecca Klein asked a few questions that need to be asked and answered in this very thoughtful article:

1. Are we willing to pay more for electricity and water to have a higher level of reliability? And if so, how much more? Greater reliability can mean a number of factors, such as: B. the necessary weathering of infrastructure systems. higher mandated margins of reserve generation than today; real incentives for customer protection and / or smart devices; better coordination between gas, electricity and water suppliers; Ensure our gas supply is safe, adequate and accessible; or among other things adjust our wholesale prices for electricity prices. Some of these activities are more expensive than others. We have to systematically evaluate the compromises.

2. How can we be better prepared for outlier events, regardless of their probability? Would it make sense to require nationwide scenario planning that includes coordinated exercises that test both our operational and communication skills across units?

3. How can all stakeholders, particularly ERCOT, the Texas Public Utility Commission, the Office of Public Utility Council (but also utilities, etc.) provide consumers with more timely, transparent and relevant information in preparation? what happens and why; what to expect; and who to call

C3

Or we could go for the AOC solution.

The Texas infrastructure outages are literally what happens if you don’t pursue a Green New Deal.

– Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@AOC) February 17, 2021

The breakdown for February 16, 2021:

MWh %.
Wind generation 73.395 6%
Solar power generation 20,134 2%
Hydropower generation 3.833 0%
Different generation 682 0%
Natural gas production 759.708 65%
Coal production 204,655 18%
Nuclear generation 98.394 8th%
total 1,160,801 100%

RRP

Fossil fuels made up 83% of our electricity generation on February 16. Fossil fuels + nuclear power plants made up 92%. But AOC says more wind and sun saved the day …

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